市场对新增供应的担忧或将限制油价上涨曲线锯

中国石化新闻网讯 据4月7日FX Empire报道，交易员们最担心的是，全球经济的改善是否会产生足够的需求，以抵消额外供应。美国西德克萨斯中质原油和国际基准布伦特原油期货价格周三小幅走高。早盘支撑市场的催化剂是，随着新冠肺炎疫苗接种的增加，全球经济增长将更加强劲，加上周二晚些时候发布的一份行业报告显示，美国原油库存上周下降。这种情况下，也许限制价格的是一份显示汽油大量增加的报告。

格林尼治时间06:55,5月WTI原油价格为每桶59.51美元，上涨0.18美元，即0.30%，6月布伦特原油价格为每桶62.90美元，上涨0.16美元，即0.26%。

全球经济强劲增长支撑油价

周二公布的数据显示，美国2月份的就业机会升至两年高位，且就业人数增加，这支撑了物价。此前公布的数据显示，美国3月份服务业活动触及纪录高位。

与此同时，国际货币基金组织(IMF）周二再次上调了全球经济增长预期，预计今年全球产出将增长6%，反映出美国经济前景迅速好转。

美国石油学会每周库存报告影响油价

美国石油学会周二晚间公布，截至4月2日的一周原油库存略有减少261.8万桶。分析师预测，本周产量将减少至143.6万桶，汽油库存增加455.3万桶。馏分油库存继上周增加259.5万桶后，本周增加了281万桶。

热情的原油投资者们最担心的是，全球经济迅速改善是否会产生足够的需求，以抵消额外供应可能对市场造成的冲击。

交易员希望疫苗接种的速度超过疫情的传播速度，但他们也担心欧佩克+的产量逐渐增加，以及额外的供应可能会进入市场。

尽管如此，一些分析师对油价上涨的前景持乐观态度。

澳新银行（ANZ bank）分析师表示：“对全球经济前景的乐观情绪提振了原油市场的人气。届时美国能源信息署(EIA)将发布库存报告，预计原油供应将减少20吴忠0万桶。”

王佳晶 摘译自 FX Empire

原文如下：

Oil Price Fundamental Daily Forecast – New Supply Worries May Be Capping Gains Ahead of EIA Report

The big concern for traders is whether the improving global economy will generate enough demand to offset the possibility of additional supply.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate and international-benchmark Brent crude oil futures are inching higher on Wednesday. The catalysts underpinning the markets early in the session are the prospects for stronger global economic growth amid increased COVID-19 vaccinations and an industry report from late Tuesday that showed U.S. crude inventories fell last week. Perhaps putting a lid on prices was a report showing a large gasoline build.

At 06:55 GMT, May WTI crude oil is trading $59.51, up $0.18 or +0.30% and June Brent crude oil is at $62.90, up $0.16 接地or +0.26%.

Supported by St碎浆机rong Signs of Global Economic Growth

Prices are being underpinned as data on Tuesday showed U.S. job openings rose to a two-year high in February while hiring picked up. This followed earlier data showing U.S. services activity touching a record high in March.

Meanwhile, the International Monetary Fund raised its outlook for global economic growth again on Tuesday, forecasting worldwide output would rise 6% this year, reflecting a rapidly brightening outlook for the U.S. economy.

American Petroleum Institute Weekly Inventories Report

The API late Tuesday reported a modest draw in crude oil inventories of 2.618 million barrels for the week-ending April 2. Analysts had predicted a smaller draw of 1.436 million barrels for the week.

The API also reported a build in gasoline inventories绿釉古玩 of 4.553 million barrels for the week-ending April 2.

Distillate stocks saw an increase in inventories this week of 2.810 million barrels for the week, after last week’s 2.595-million-barrel increase.

Daily Forecast

The big concern for crude oil bulls is whether the rapidly improving global economy will generate enough demand to offset the possibility of additional supply hitting the market.

Traders are hoping the pace of vaccinations outpace the spread of COVID-19 variants sweeping the world. But they are also worried about the gradual increase in output by OPEC+ and additional supplies that might be brought onto the market should the talks over the Iranian nuclear deal end with lifting U.S. sanctions.

Nonetheless, some analysts are optimistic about the prospect of higher prices.

“Optimism on the global economic outlook boosted sentiment in the crude oil market,” analysts from ANZ bank wrote in a note on Wednesday.

We’re going to release of the Energy Information Administration (EIA) inventories report. It is expected to show a 2.0 million barrel drawdown in crude oil supply.